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Moderate Price Growth Defines Boston in October

by Alonzo Turner

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Home prices in Boston continued their year-over-year climb in October, rising 5.1 percent, keeping nearly parallel with the nation’s gains, according to the new Case-Shiller Home Price Indices from Standard & Poor’s.

Month-over-month, the city’s home prices, for the second straight month, went unchanged. Price growth in Boston has otherwise been stable, so it’s likely the monthly stagnation is a result of a seasonal slowdown.

The October Case-Shiller

Nationally, home prices continued to grow in a slow, steady manner:

  • The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, rose 5.2 percent year-over-year in October, compared with a 4.6 percent rise in July.
  • The 10-City and 20-City Composites, which focus on the nation’s largest metro areas, rose 5.1 and 5.5 percent, respectively.
  • On a monthly basis, home price growth was far less positive, with the National Index rising just 0.1 percent from September to October; the 10-City Composite was unchanged while the 20-City Composite rose 0.1 percent, respectively, though with seasonal adjustments, the composites both rose 0.8 percent.
  • There are clear signs of housing slowdowns across the country – for instance, while all 20 statistical areas recorded positive year-over-year price growth, eight cities experienced negative dips from September to October.

Economy is “Generally Good”

In comments accompanying the report, David Blitzer, managing director and chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, pointed to “generally good economic conditions” as the primary driver behind the nation’s steady price gains.

“Among the positive factors are consumers’ expectations of low inflation and further economic growth as well as recent increases in residential construction including single family housing starts,” he said.

Blitzer remarked that inventories of existing homes, which have averaged around a five-month supply for the past year, are reflective of a “fairly tight market.”

He added: “Sales of new single family homes, despite recent increases in construction, remain mixed to soft compared to the trend in existing home sales.”

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